Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.842236 0.960606 1.089394 1.239896 1.410934 1.599261 1.822364
2025-03-16 0.652578 0.812925 1.002891 1.244444 1.543398 1.901296 2.362484
2025-03-23 0.548500 0.727404 0.952535 1.256438 1.655927 2.163257 2.856921
2025-03-30 0.462249 0.645317 0.887366 1.230502 1.704356 2.335838 3.242055
2025-04-06 0.397138 0.579724 0.831729 1.204491 1.741735 2.488208 3.605256
2025-04-13 0.341229 0.518500 0.772789 1.163561 1.748767 2.592857 3.904247
2025-04-20 0.324082 0.510654 0.787783 1.228603 1.912012 2.931570 4.570062
2025-04-27 0.307404 0.500964 0.797920 1.285621 2.066333 3.267970 5.260423
2025-05-04 0.291137 0.489669 0.803616 1.334885 2.211224 3.599969 5.970957
2025-05-11 0.270604 0.468956 0.791746 1.353685 2.307288 3.860733 6.587206
2025-05-18 0.243764 0.434717 0.754113 1.325424 2.321582 3.987666 6.989997
2025-05-25 0.223463 0.409530 0.728990 1.315345 2.364436 4.163516 7.487766
2025-06-01 0.207340 0.390497 0.713282 1.321221 2.437315 4.399736 8.117642
2025-06-08 0.192554 0.372434 0.697622 1.325677 2.507999 4.638059 8.773000
2025-06-15 0.180482 0.358135 0.687254 1.338439 2.594194 4.909975 9.511638
2025-06-22 0.164411 0.334488 0.657174 1.310829 2.601253 5.035619 9.984021
2025-06-29 0.150039 0.312717 0.628575 1.283138 2.605011 5.154058 10.450585
2025-07-06 0.135366 0.288866 0.593690 1.239565 2.573039 5.200008 10.776327
2025-07-13 0.134031 0.292432 0.613713 1.308808 2.773999 5.718950 12.096868
2025-07-20 0.131731 0.293696 0.629054 1.369505 2.962184 6.226524 13.435490
2025-07-27 0.128661 0.292975 0.640116 1.421946 3.137130 6.720150 14.784884
2025-08-03 0.122844 0.285613 0.636378 1.441958 3.243892 7.079325 15.875272
2025-08-10 0.113300 0.268924 0.610960 1.411875 3.238206 7.198446 16.450657